Crypto Derivatives 30th April 24
Leverage as indicated by perpetual swap funding rates and futures-implied yields remains much lower than the extremes we saw ahead of the flush-out at the end of March. Implied volatility levels have crashed lower for both tokens and across their term structures, led by a significant under-performance in shorter-dated tenors. Vol smiles remain intermittently skewed towards OTM puts at short tenors as the market appears to brace for further downside in the short term. ETH vols trade some 5 vols higher than BTC’s across the term structure, with both future-implied yields and vol smile skews indicating more bearish positioning than in BTCs markets, particularly in the short term.
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Futures Implied Yield, 1-Month Tenor

ATM Implied Volatility, 1-Month Tenor

Futures

BTC Annualised Yields
Yields trade near their month-long lows as spot continues to trade in its $60-70K range.

ETH Annualised Yields
Trade in a similarly tight range, but at much lower levels for shorter-dated tenors.

Perpetual Swap Funding Rates
BTC Funding Rate
Remains close to zero as demand for leveraged exposure remains low following the flush-out one month ago.

ETH Funding Rate
Indicates slightly higher rates in the more illiquid USDC-margined token, with the token-settled rate remaining close to zero.

BTC Options

BTC SVI ATM Implied Volatility
Volatility levels have collapsed over the last week, lead by under-performing vol at shorter-dated tenors.

BTC 25-Delta Risk Reversal
Short-dated smiles have skewed towards puts intermittently over the last month.

ETH Options

ETH SVI ATM Implied Volatility
Despite falling at a similar clip to BTC's, ETH vols remain elevated by around 5 vols across the term structure.

ETH 25-Delta Risk Reversal
Reports a persistent tilt towards OTM puts at shorter-dated tenors over the last month.

Volatility by Exchange
BTC, 1-Month Tenor, SVI Calibration

ETH, 1-Month Tenor, SVI Calibration

Put-Call Skew by Exchange
BTC, 1-Month Tenor, 25-Delta SVI Calibration

ETH, 1-Month Tenor, 25-Delta SVI Calibration

Market Composite Volatility Surface


Listed Expiry Volatility Smiles


Cross-Exchange Volatility Smiles


Constant Maturity Volatility Smiles



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